Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83.6%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto25 gen 26, 07:03 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
I strongly dislike people who (I feel) abuse the legal system.
- My typical response to threats to sue for defamation is to refuse, and perhaps publish even more negative information about that party in response.
- (My two brushes with the risk so far have been my TCG-Con article where they threatened to sue me and never followed through, and my tangential involvement with the vexatious litigant Oliver Smith; I offered to host on my website one of the articles that he kept trying to get taken down via legal threats, but ended up not doing this because it stayed up elsewhere.)
- This has not caused any problems for me so far, and nobody has ever actually sued me.
- However, that may not remain the case forever.
- I will include for this purposes of this market suits that are technically not "for defamation", but are clearly in response to me publishing information that the other party did not like.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 10,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 25,8K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt25%
- October 31-2.5pt11%
- September 30-0.6pt3%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- John Brennan-1.0pt52%
- Leon Black31%
- Anthony Fauci-4.0pt25%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+23.0pt76.5%
- 60+-23.0pt13.3%
- <20-1.4pt8.2%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWho will be arrested before 2027?
- John Brennan27%
- Mahmoud Khalil+0.5pt19%
- James Clapper12%
+21 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 377,3K €
POLYMARKETSBF released from custody in 2026?
- No-0.1pt98%
- Yes+0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 398,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7K €
- Jimmy Lai released by which date?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Jack Doherty Prison Time?
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 84% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade??
- Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I strongly dislike people who (I feel) abuse the legal system.