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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaEuropeCrime & Justice18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 10%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

201 €

Liquidità

15,1K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

8.0% / 11.0%

Spread

37.5%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-1.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

19 mag 26, 20:4930 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes10%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.