Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
0.5 pt (24h)GeopoliticaOne-OffPoliticaEuropeCrime & Justice3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 9 set 2026, 15:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31, 12%
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
7,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Commenti
16
Variazione 7g
-0.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
19 mag 26, 20:45 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.