Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
1.5% (24h)GeopoliticaOne-OffPoliticaEuropeCrime & Justice5m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeDecember 31, 14%-1.5%
Qualita del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
8,8 €
Liquidità
7,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
11.0% / 16.0%
Spread
45.5%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+1.5%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
19 mag 26, 20:4531 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
December 31,14%
Trend del volume
$105 lug14g di dati26 lug
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.