Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 57.4%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
19 ago 26, 14:07 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
PolymarketWill the United States detain Gustavo Petro by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill former Colombian president Gustavo Petro be formally charged with a criminal offense before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsJames Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This is the strongest and most consequential market in the series.
- It asks whether Gustavo Petro will ultimately receive a prison sentence as a result of a criminal conviction before the beginning of 2028.
- A conviction alone would not be sufficient.
- The court must actually impose a sentence that includes imprisonment.
- Resolution criteria:
- YES: If a competent court sentences Gustavo Petro to a term of imprisonment before January 1, 2028.
