Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028?
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 50.5%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto19 ago 26, 14:07 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsCluely founders convicted of crime before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
PolymarketWill former Colombian president Gustavo Petro be formally charged with a criminal offense before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegole
This market goes one step further and asks whether any of the investigations or criminal proceedings involving Petro ultimately result in a criminal conviction.
- The market is not limited to allegations contained in Abelardo de la Espriella's “White Paper.” Any criminal case involving Gustavo Petro may qualify.
- Resolution criteria:
- YES: If a competent court issues a criminal conviction against Gustavo Petro before January 1, 2028.
- NO: If no criminal conviction is issued against him by that date.
- Being investigated, charged, indicted, arrested, or standing trial does not qualify.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 693K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028??
- Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market goes one step further and asks whether any of the investigations or criminal proceedings involving Petro ultimately result in a criminal conviction.