Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 95%
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto23 lug 25, 00:29 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
KalshiWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsPresident Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms?
Manifold MarketsGhislaine Maxwell makes it to the deposition?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?
FutuurRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 592,5K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 602,9 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 220,4K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 214,6K €
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ghislaine Maxwell still be alive on January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ghislaine Maxwell still be alive on January 1, 2027??
- Will Ghislaine Maxwell still be alive on January 1, 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.