President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USACriminalità e giustizia8g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto10 feb 26, 03:59 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
KalshiWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Ghislaine Maxwell still be alive on January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsGhislaine Maxwell makes it to the deposition?
Manifold MarketsWill Ghislaine Maxwell be murdered by 2027-01-01?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if President Trump grants clemency (pardon, commutation, or reprieve) to Ghislaine Maxwell before November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the White House or Department of Justice.
- The market resolves NO if no clemency is granted by the deadline.
- Maxwell is serving a 20-year prison sentence for federal sex-trafficking charges for her role in sexually exploiting and abusing minors with Epstein.
- In February 2026, Maxwell declined to answer questions from House lawmakers in a deposition but indicated that if President Trump ended her prison sentence, she was willing to testify that neither Trump nor former President Bill Clinton had done anything wrong in their connections with Epstein.