Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket]

Politica US Politics Crime & Justice5m

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti

Dati al 19 giu 2026, 01:24 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 10%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 37 giorni fa

Obsoleto

26 lug 25, 23:461 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes10%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Resolves the same as the Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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MANIFOLD MARKETS

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MANIFOLD MARKETS

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Regole

Resolves the same as the Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.