Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 54.4%
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto27 mag 25, 19:34 UTC28 mag 40, 19:19 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be the most numerous type of fusion power plant in 2100?
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Manifold MarketsWhich year will the first nuclear power plant in Poland start producing power?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if a nuclear fission or NO if a nuclear fusion power plant is operational, whichever happens first (market to be extended if necessary).
- The reactor must be located in Germany and electricity must be fed into the grid (reactors only for research or isotope production don't count).
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume totale
- 3,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume totale
- 997K €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2K €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 54% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion??
- Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 maggio 2040.
- Come viene liquidato Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if a nuclear fission or NO if a nuclear fusion power plant is operational, whichever happens first (market to be extended if necessary).