Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.6%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 ore fa
Obsoleto20 feb 26, 14:39 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
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PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Elon Musk is assassinated before January 1, 2030.
- For resolution purposes, assassination is defined as the deliberate, premeditated killing of Musk by another person.
- Resolution will be determined by official confirmation from law enforcement, medical examiners, or credible news sources documenting that Musk's death resulted from an assassination attempt.
- Deaths from natural causes, accidents, or other non-assassination-related circumstances resolve NO.
