Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
PoliticaOne-OffTecnologiaSpazioElezionePolitica USA2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:24 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 97.3%
Previsori
99
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto10 gen 25, 23:00 UTC20 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Elon Musk is the CEO of multiple high-profile companies including Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter).
- Donald Trump is currently the presumptive Republican nominee for the 2024 presidential election.
- If elected, his term would run from January 20, 2025 to January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Elon Musk dies as a result of an intentional act of violence by another person or group before the end of Trump's potential second presidential term (January 20, 2029).
- The market will resolve NO if:
