Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027
GeopoliticaOne-OffChina3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 51.1%
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto7 mar 26, 13:49 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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[image]In December 2024, videos and photos of two previously unknown tailless stealth combat aircraft emerged on Chinese social media: a large triple-engine design (unofficially called the Chengdu J-36) and a smaller twin-engine design (unofficially called the Shenyang J-50 or J-XDS).
- These are widely assessed by Western analysts as "sixth-generation" fighter prototypes.
- As of March 2026 the Chinese government, Ministry of National Defense, and PLA have issued no official statements, names, specifications, or confirmations about these specific aircraft.
- This market resolves on whether the Chinese government provides an official public acknowledgment of these new stealth jet models (or the associated sixth-generation program) before 2027.
- The market resolves YES if, at any time on or before 31 December 2026, there is clear, verifiable evidence that the Chinese government has publicly and explicitly acknowledged the existence or development of these specific new stealth fighter prototypes.
- Acceptable evidence includes:
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027?
- Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: [image]In December 2024, videos and photos of two previously unknown tailless stealth combat aircraft emerged on Chinese social media: a large triple-engine design (unofficially called the Chengdu J-36) and a smaller twin-engine design (unofficially called the Shenyang J-50 or J-XDS).