Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 79.7%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto2 mag 23, 14:59 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketWill San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHighest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2027? (May 5)
Manifold MarketsWill a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 57,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 85,9K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027+0.5pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 175.3%
- 221.8%
- 3-0.1pt2%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+2.0pt88%
- Before 203082%
- Before 2029+5.1pt53%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 233,1K €
KALSHIUS grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- No95%
- Yes-1.4pt5%
- Volume totale
- 675,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9K €
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+12.5pt88.1%
- Yes-12.5pt11.9%
- Volume totale
- 10,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7K €
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
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- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
- Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
- Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 80% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030??
- Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.