Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work?
EconomiaOne-OffSociety & Culture4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 81.3%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto20 mag 24, 12:23 UTC25 dic 30, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
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She wrote this article: https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/05/17/my-last-five-years-of-work/.
- She actually speculates she might only work for 3 more years.
- Resolves to YES if Avital Balwit has gainful or plausibly impactful employment, including self-employment but excluding household work and raising children, during the year 2030, constituting an average of at least 20 hours/week of work over some 6 month period.
- Domestic work such as child care does not count towards this.
- Resolves to NO if Avital Balwit does not have such gainful or plausibly impactful employment to this extent, for any reason.
- Resolves to 50% if we have no idea what she is up to.
Mercati aperti
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- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
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- 91 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
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- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
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- 47,4K €
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- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
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- 359,2K €
- Volume 24h
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- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 altri esiti
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- 16,4K €
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- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
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- No78%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 81% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work??
- Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work? dovrebbe risolversi il 25 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: She wrote this article: https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/05/17/my-last-five-years-of-work/.