Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 95.1%
Previsori
172
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto28 feb 23, 15:09 UTC31 dic 29, 21:01 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved with zero to minimal AI use?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Millenium Problems
- This market will be resolved to:
- YES -- if by the 1st of January, 2030 a proof recognized by the Clay Mathematics Institute is published
- NO -- otherwise