Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.8%
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto11 ago 25, 10:06 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Germany legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill New Zealand legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
For “Yes”, a national law or regulation must come into effect granting legal status equivalent to marriage, civil partnership, or similar to a human–AI couple.
- I will not bet in this market.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 75,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 61,5K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 61,1K €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 altri esiti
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027??
- Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: For “Yes”, a national law or regulation must come into effect granting legal status equivalent to marriage, civil partnership, or similar to a human–AI couple.