Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 80.3%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto24 mag 23, 18:01 UTC31 dic 33, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will New Zealand legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsNew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
KalshiMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
Society & CultureKALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.8 million96%
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.9 million89%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 18K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,9K €
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Volume totale
- 799,2 €
- Volume 24h
- 799,2 €
POLYMARKETIs Earth flat?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume totale
- 50,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 558,3 €
POLYMARKETIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Yes+9.0pt58.4%
- No-9.0pt41.6%
- Volume totale
- 7,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 542,3 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+4.0pt79.2%
- Yes-4.0pt20.8%
- Volume totale
- 20K €
- Volume 24h
- 528,3 €
FORECASTEXWill University of Michigan rank first for public universities in 2027?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Volume totale
- 522,5 €
- Volume 24h
- 522,5 €
- Will Harvard tuition exceed $61,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
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- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Germany legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 80% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Germany legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033??
- Will Germany legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2033.