Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2027?
Società e culturaPolitica2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 19:15 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualePoland 96%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto11 set 25, 09:37 UTC1 gen 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2028?
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Resolution criteria
- An option in this market will resolve YES if, at 23:59:00 local time on 1 January 2027, same-sex marriages have legal recognition in the named jurisdiction.
- Each option will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- For the purpose of this market, a jurisdiction may recognise same-sex marriages without necessarily performing them.
- If, for example, a jurisdiction only recognises same-sex marriages performed extraterritorially, this is sufficient to resolve YES.
