Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 13:07 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeFlorida 96.6%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 14:42 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a US state cease to recognize same-sex marriages by 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?
Manifold MarketsCatholic Church in Germany consecrates same-sex unions before Christmas 2027?
Manifold MarketsKentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- An option in this market will resolve YES if, at 23:59:00 local time on 1 January 2028, same-sex marriages have legal recognition in the stated jurisdiction.
- Each option will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- For the purpose of this market, a jurisdiction may recognise same-sex marriages without necessarily performing them.
- If, for example, a jurisdiction only recognises same-sex marriages performed extraterritorially, this is sufficient to resolve YES.