Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeFlorida 88.8%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 14:42 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a US state cease to recognize same-sex marriages by 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?
Manifold MarketsKentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- An option in this market will resolve YES if, at 23:59:00 local time on 1 January 2028, same-sex marriages have legal recognition in the stated jurisdiction.
- Each option will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- For the purpose of this market, a jurisdiction may recognise same-sex marriages without necessarily performing them.
- If, for example, a jurisdiction only recognises same-sex marriages performed extraterritorially, this is sufficient to resolve YES.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 659,9K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 23,8K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volume totale
- 3,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6K €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volume totale
- 18,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volume totale
- 49,8K €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
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- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Florida al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2028??
- Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria