KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Claude 89.7%In testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
76 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
24,2K €
Liquidità
21,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
14 set 26, 16:00 UTC21 set 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 70,3K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,4K €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 20,9K €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-0.5pt89%
- October 31-2.0pt72%
- September 30-5.0pt11%
+4 altri esiti
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Best AI this week?
- Kalshi quota Claude al 90% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Best AI this week?
- Best AI this week dovrebbe risolversi il 21 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Best AI this week?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.