Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 85.3%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
29 ott 23, 17:03 UTC1 gen 00, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAt least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
The Millennium Prize problems are meant to be the updated version of Hilbert's problems for the 21st century.
- Will they all be solved once the century is over? If the Clay Mathematics Institute still exists, this will resolve based on whether they have officially recognized all the problems as being solved.
- Otherwise, it resolves based on the consensus of the mathematical community.