Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
InflationOne-OffEconomiaIAMacro & Economy8a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 75%
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22
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 33 minuti fa
3 feb 25, 09:03 UTC1 gen 35, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Historically, the U.S. economy has taken about 15–20 years to double in size when looking at nominal GDP.
- For example, it rose from roughly $10 trillion in 2000 to about $20 trillion in 2017.
- Some experts now argue that artificial intelligence could drive faster growth, potentially allowing the economy to double every 10 years—much shorter than the usual historical timeline.
- This question focuses on whether AI-driven productivity gains will accelerate U.S. economic expansion enough to double nominal GDP from 2025 to 2035.
- Resolution Criteria
- Data Source: The annual nominal (current-dollar) GDP figures published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
Mercati aperti
Inflation
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Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035??
- Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2035.
- Come viene liquidato Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Historically, the U.S. economy has taken about 15–20 years to double in size when looking at nominal GDP.