Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030?

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 86.5% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030??

Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.

Come viene liquidato Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question resolves to yes on or before January 1st 2030 if a quantum computer equipped with the ability to perform quantum error correction and run 100 million gates is announced and nonzero 3rd party verification confirms it's existence.

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

JSON gratuito per questo mercato, senza chiave API:

Agenti IA: chiama pm_data_event sul server MCP di CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-1.3pt4%
• October 310%

+5 altri esiti

Volume totale

66,9 Mln €

Volume 24h

339,1K €

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 202922.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt13.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.1pt4.5%

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1+3.5pt89.9%
• 2-2.5pt10.1%
• 30%

+3 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 25, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+73.6pt96%
• 5.7 to 5.8-10.4pt4%
• 5.3 to 5.40%

+3 altri esiti

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+3.8pt82.5%
• No17.5%

Volume totale

388,8K €

Volume 24h

2K €

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 26, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+4.0pt28%
• 5.5 to 5.618%
• 5.7 to 5.814%

+3 altri esiti

Volume totale

• Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
• When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
• US solar capacity installed in​ 2026
• 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
• Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?
• How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
• How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
• What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
• Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
• How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?