Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.9%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto23 ago 23, 21:17 UTC1 gen 30, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
Manifold MarketsWill fully autonomous vehicles be allowed on all roads in Illinois by 2060?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Dec 31 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PolymarketRamp AI Index adoption rate in August
KalshiRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
AdoptionKALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume totale
- 159,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 130,1 €
POLYMARKETUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume totale
- 52,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 56,6 €
POLYMARKETOver 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 18K €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSLinux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.
- Yes57.9%
- No42.1%
- Volume totale
- 1,4K €
- Volume 24h
- —
KALSHIRamp AI Index adoption rate in August
- Above 59%65%
- Above 57%25.8%
- Above 58%9.3%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 21,3 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?
- No85.9%
- Yes14.1%
- Volume totale
- 589,5 €
- Volume 24h
- —
- Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?
- Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
- US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?
- Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028
- What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?
- Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?
- Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
- Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?
- Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?
- Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030??
- Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.