When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]
Geopolitica3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBy 2030-01-01 73.4%In testa tra 3 esiti
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9
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo11 ott 25, 17:04 UTC30 gen 30, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves according to this Metaculus question:
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/18546)If that question is unavailable, I'll do my best to resolve in the same spirit.
- Individual questions may resolve some time after the date passes, depending on conditions and my judgment; sometimes Metaculus resolves to dates in the past and I don't want to have a re-resolution situation.