[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / Ucraina2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.8%
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Aggiornato 26 minuti fa
6 gen 26, 22:12 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRegole
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41138)Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as Yes if a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict has gone into effect during 2026.
- The ceasefire must either
- last a minimum of 30 consecutive days entirely during 2026
- be intended to last a minimum of 30 days (or indefinitely), as specified by the agreement text or joint statement, even if it is immediately violated.