Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 22 ott 2026, 09:35 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale2026 9.1%In testa tra 11 esiti
Previsori
0
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto7 apr 26, 14:36 UTC31 dic 35, 14:33 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Is the Kakeya conjecture true?
Manifold MarketsWill Goldbach's conjecture be proved before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Goldbach's conjecture be proved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Goldbach's conjecture be proved before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRegole
A Kakeya set (also called a Besicovitch set) is a set in Euclidean space that contains a unit line segment pointing in every direction.
- The Kakeya conjecture states that a Kakeya set in ℝⁿ always has a Hausdorff dimension of n.
- For more information, see the Wikipedia article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kakeya_set
- You don't need to be able to continuously rotate a line segment through all possible orientations in a Kakeya set. a set where you can also do that for a segment of length 1 is called a Kakeya needle set and is irrelevant here (The conjecture is trivially true for all Kakeya needle sets, since they must have positive area).
- The definition of the Kakeya set conjecture given in the Wikipedia article above also says that the Minkowski dimension has to be equal to n.
- This is actually equivalent to my definition because Hausdorff dimension ≤ Minkowski dimension ≤ n for all subsets of Euclidean n-space for which the dimensions are all defined, and the Minkowski dimension is defined for any set with Hausdorff dimension n (since any such set must have upper and lower box dimension equal to n, meaning the Minkowski dimension is n).