Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNot in 2026 22.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-12.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ott 26, 20:17 UTC1 gen 27, 06:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
@Bayesian resolved @/Bayesian/will-i-solve-an-unsolved-math-probl-5ZR0n0LOlE on Sept. 25, 2026 (earning himself Ṁ19,822) but has not yet revealed what problem(s) he solved.
- This market will resolve based on the day he names at least one problem he solved in a comment on that market.
- If we reach Jan 1, 2027 without an answer, it will resolve "the named outcome."
- Zvi's house rules apply: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ge3Jf5Hnon8wq4xqT/zvi-s-manifold-markets-house-rules
