Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028??

Manifold Markets quota <= 10% al 33.4% al 23 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028??

US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.

Come viene liquidato US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: (x, y] here means x < tariff percentage <= y.

Simula un'operazione

US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028?

One-OffPolitica commerciale Cina1a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati

Dati al 23 ott 2026, 17:42 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4

Previsione della comunità attuale

<= 10% 33.4%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 ore fa

Obsoleto

6 apr 25, 23:40 UTC1 gen 28, 00:00 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

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Regole

(x, y] here means x < tariff percentage <= y.

(see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interval_(mathematics)) 10.1 would resolve (10, 25] % Exactly 10% would resolve [0, 10]
Please let me know if you have any confusions/notice edge cases in this operationalization.

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US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028?

US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028?

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Domande frequenti

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

Mercati aperti

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US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028?

US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028?

Mercati aperti

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Will Trump issue dividend payments?

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Cripto correlate

Domande frequenti

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

Mercati aperti

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Will Trump issue dividend payments?

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)