Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.4%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto11 ott 25, 00:06 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?
KalshiPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by which date?
PolymarketCarles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
PolymarketSpain snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketWill Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?
KalshiWill the US announce in 2026 it is closing a military base in Germany or Spain?
PredictItRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain ceases to be a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) by January 1, 2027.
- This includes, but is not limited to, a formal withdrawal by Spain in accordance with Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty, or an explicit, official, and universally recognized declaration by NATO that Spain is no longer a member state.
- The market will resolve to "No" if Spain remains a NATO member as of January 1, 2027.
- Spain became the 16th member of NATO on May 30, 1982.
- Since its accession, Spain has been a committed ally, participating in NATO's political and military structures.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Spain removed from NATO by 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Spain removed from NATO by 2027??
- Spain removed from NATO by 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Spain removed from NATO by 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria