Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 76.8%
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19
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 26, 17:12 UTC30 giu 29, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Russian attacks or invades Estonia by mid 2029
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Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Credible sources, battles or clear Russian troops on the other side of the border.
- Or, bombs them, or does drone strikes.
- Or other kinetic attacks.
- Threats leading to concessions of territory or political union would not count because it's too hard to evaluate.
- There has to be at least a shot fired.