Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 76.8%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 26, 17:12 UTC30 giu 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028
Manifold MarketsWill any foreign military trainers in Ukraine be killed by Russian attacks?
Manifold MarketsWill Åland be an autonomous and demilitarized region of Finland until 2030?
Manifold MarketsIran invades Kuwait by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketHow many seats will the Communist Party (KPRF) win in the next Russian legislative election?
PolymarketRegole
Credible sources, battles or clear Russian troops on the other side of the border.
- Or, bombs them, or does drone strikes.
- Or other kinetic attacks.
- Threats leading to concessions of territory or political union would not count because it's too hard to evaluate.
- There has to be at least a shot fired.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2029?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 77% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2029?
- Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2029 dovrebbe risolversi il 30 giugno 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2029?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Credible sources, battles or clear Russian troops on the other side of the border.