Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto4 mar 25, 20:37 UTC11 mar 50, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRegole
Militarily powerful way above its weight, supported by the US, surrounded by hostile countries,
- A larger block centered around Poland (e.g. with Czechia, Slovakia, Ukraine, Baltics, etc.) also counts.
- Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Military Performance Clarification:
- Poland’s military must be capable of overcoming adversaries with populations several times larger than its own.
- This quantifies the notion of 'punching above its weight' as mentioned in the market description.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt97%
- September 25-0.5pt86%
- September 3078%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 947,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 688,2K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 58,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 289,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Poland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 77% al 19 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Poland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050??
- Poland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 11 marzo 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Poland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Militarily powerful way above its weight, supported by the US, surrounded by hostile countries,