Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
Politica USAOne-OffGeopoliticaEuropa2m
FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 89%
No 89%Qualità del mercato
31 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
326,8 €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
9
Commenti
1
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
This market aims to predict whether the United States will announce a reduction of its military personnel presence in Europe by at least 50% (approximately 32,832 people, as of the personnel report for June 2024 by the Defense Manpower Data Center) before December 31, 2026, at 23:59 (UTC-3).
- For this market to resolve as "Yes", the White House, the Department of State, or the Department of Defense must make an official announcement.
- For this market’s purposes, the official announcement will be sufficient to resolve the market to “Yes”, regardless of the practical implementation of the troops' withdrawal by the referred date.
- If multiple partial announcements are made, their total troop withdrawal figures will be cumulative.
- If the required reduction is met across multiple statements before the deadline, the market will resolve as "Yes."
- Reports by reputable news outlets and by the US Congressional Research Service may also be used as secondary sources to resolve this market and detail the number of military personnel members set for withdrawal.
