FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 93%
No 93%Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
8
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketNext High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
PolymarketRussia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026
Manifold MarketsRegole
This event predicts whether the United States will formally announce its withdrawal from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a qualifying announcement means a formal notification consistent with Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official communications from the U.S. government, including statements by the President or formal diplomatic notifications.
- If the United States formally announces its withdrawal from NATO during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The mandatory one-year notice period does not need to conclude within the market period for a "Yes" resolution; only the formal announcement is required.
