If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneGeopolitica2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.7%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 40 minuti fa
26 ago 23, 17:27 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
The commander-in-chief of the US Army is the president, and this is basically meant to be an objective measure of the US presidency that would work even if the legal/formal power works differently in the future.
- If I understand correctly, Donald Trump would mainly remain president if he overthrows the current democratic system in some way?
- I assume it might lead to some sort of fracturing, so I will specifically consider the largest fragment of the military.
- Resolution criteria
- As a big picture, in order for this market to resolve:
- Donald Trump must become president during 2024-2028, otherwise the market resolves N/A.
