[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.6%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto21 mar 24, 18:56 UTC2 gen 27, 08:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21548/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if credible media sources report a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before January 1, 2027.
- For this question, a direct conflict would be defined as:
- Any presence of uniformed troops within the internationally recognized borders of a hostile state without permission (whether these are NATO soldiers within Russian borders, or Russian soldiers within the borders of any NATO member state.)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027??
- [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
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