If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
GeopoliticaOne-OffCina4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 57.2%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ago 26, 16:26 UTC31 dic 30, 12:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China
- Resolves No otherwise
- Resolves N/A if by close date China has not invaded Taiwan
- "Invasion" is any attempt to establish a ground presence on the island of Taiwan with military force.
- If China attempted a landing on Taiwan but was entirely thwarted by a US attack this would still resolve Yes
- (Identical market to: source market)