Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 24 giu 2026, 12:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attuale
He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years 20.2%In testa tra 70 esiti
Previsori
162
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 31 giorni fa
Obsoleto18 dic 23, 17:4517 dic 27, 6:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years20%
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Javier Milei is bringing a new style of leadership to Argentina.
- This is a collection of a ton of simple binary markets about what may happen during his first term of four years!
- Have fun betting even 1m on each, then tune in to your notifications system to get updated as we see how things go over the next few years! Best of luck to Argentina no matter where that resides.
- Things he did during the entire term, including before creation of this market, all count, based on the beginning of his term; for example, if he has already left Argentina during his presidency, then the claim about him leaving would YES.
- In general the claims end in Dec 2027 at the normal time of the succession of whoever wins the next election.
- Most claims relating to a "term" relate to the original planned term of 4 years; if that is changed, we still cover that time period as best we can preserving the intent, which is always to make the claim as "meaningful" as possible. i.e. to avoid resolving on technicalities only a lawyer would care about, but rather, as long as it doesn't go against the written text, to go by what is meant by the term. i.e. if we say "he dies from the bite of a poisonous snake" we would not be pedantic and say "actually, only venomous snakes can kill him; poisonous is a term for something which if you contact/eat it, you can die".