Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:02 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 66.6%
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34
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto24 gen 23, 14:54 UTC1 gen 00, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill String Theory have experimental validation by 2050?
Manifold MarketsIs string theory dead?
Manifold MarketsSusy particles discovered by 2075, proving string theory, and susy?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegole
Resolves yes if there is essentially a consensus among physicists that string theory is correct, and no if there is essentially a consensus that string theory is incorrect.
- Otherwise, resolve as N/A.