Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.4%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto15 feb 26, 06:14 UTC31 dic 26, 06:12 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill anyone be criminally charged based on evidence from the Epstein files in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat does pizza refer to in Epstein files (in addition to actual pizza food)?
Manifold MarketsWill over-redaction render the Epstein files useless?
Manifold MarketsHas anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible evidence emerges that "jerky" in the Epstein files is definitively a code reference for human meat, rather than actual beef jerky or a restaurant reference (The Cannibal is a real gastropub in New York City).
- Resolution will be determined by examining the DOJ's Epstein Library at https://www.justice.gov/epstein and any official investigative conclusions or credible journalistic analysis.
- If no such evidence materializes, the market resolves NO as specified.
- In February 2026, after the U.S. Department of Justice released more than 3 million files related to the late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, claims circulated online that the files reference cannibalism.
- References to "cannibal" or "cannibalism" included an email from Epstein to an unknown person about jerky and "a restaurant called Cannibal".
