In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?
Tecnologia14a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2027-2028 48.8%In testa tra 4 esiti
2027-2028 48.8%Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-3.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto15 gen 24, 01:53 UTC1 gen 41, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiHow many Starship launches will occur in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches.
- Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy, and any future variations of Falcon are included; Starship cargo, tanker, test, crew, HLS, depot, and any future variations are included.
- All option brackets are inclusive; the total number of Starship family launches in the selected year must be greater than (not equal to) Falcon family launches.
- This will close on the first day of the next year after the condition is met.
- 2 Starship launches
- 96 Falcon launches