In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto20 feb 23, 22:35 UTC1 gen 28, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
That is, will Google, Facebook, Apple, etc be ahead of OpenAI, Anthropic, etc, in artificial intelligence?
- I will grade this as true if it seems obvious that they are ahead in most fields of AI.
- This will be based on technology; not commercialization; if OpenAI has an advanced AI sitting in a lab, but Google has a slightly weaker one that has made $10 billion, OpenAI will still win.
- Anything developed in-house at DeepMind will be considered to come from an AI-specific company; anything developed at the rest of Google will be Big Tech.
- If the distinction has blurred by 2028, I might resolve this as N/A if that becomes the deciding factor.
- If a Chinese or other foreign company is in the lead, I will resolve this based on whether they are the Chinese equivalent of Big Tech or a new AI specific company.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 267,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 95,6K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt69.2%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.3pt10.6%
+5 altri esiti
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- December 31,-5.0pt72%
- December 15,+4.5pt65%
- November 30,-7.0pt44%
+7 altri esiti
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- Above 2.65%+4.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.55%99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 272K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+8.0pt99%
- Above 24%+6.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%99%
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- 211,1K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology??
- In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: That is, will Google, Facebook, Apple, etc be ahead of OpenAI, Anthropic, etc, in artificial intelligence?