PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 23 21.3%In testa tra 16 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4,9K €
Liquidità
20,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
16 set 26, 22:24 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next Claude Opus released by which date?
PolymarketOpus 5.2 released in September?
Manifold MarketsClaude Opus 4.7 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsClaude Opus 5.1+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
- Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus.
- Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation.
- Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
- Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 75,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 61,5K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 61,1K €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 altri esiti
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next Claude Opus released on??
- Polymarket quota September 23 al 21% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next Claude Opus released on??
- Next Claude Opus released on? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Next Claude Opus released on??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.