Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Guillotines have a come back by 2030?

Manifold Markets quota No al 85.4% al 31 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Guillotines have a come back by 2030?

Guillotines have a come back by 2030 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if there is one public execution held with a guillotine by 2030 with video evidence.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 85.4%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 56 minuti fa

In ritardo

27 set 26, 03:32 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolves yes if there is one public execution held with a guillotine by 2030 with video evidence.

Update 2026-09-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The execution must meet the following criteria:
Can occur anywhere in the world.
Must be a judicial action.
Must be held in public and ceremonially by a domestic actor for a domestic audience.
Snuff films and ISIS-style videos do not count.