For which of the Millennium Prize Problems will the Million Dollars be taken ?
12.4 pt (24h)One-OffScienzaManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeYang-Mills & The Mass Gap 49.7%-12.4ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
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12
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
-12.4 pts
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo9 apr 24, 19:28 UTC1 gen 99, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiRegole
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
- For each market : If the 1 million dollar prize pledged by the Clay Institute of Mathematics for the resolution of the associated problem is taken, then it resolves YES.
- (Typically : someone solves the problem and accepts the money)
- If it’s clearly consensual that it won’t be taken, then it esolves NO.
- (For example, if the Clay Institute of Mathematics ceases to exist and no money is saved to be awarded later, all remaining problems shall resolve NO ; if someone solves a problem, is awarded the money and refuses it, the corresponding question resolves NO.)
- If the money is awarded and redirected (like idk someone gets the prize and asks for it to be given to MIRI), this resolves YES.