Previsione della comunità attuale
No change 76.8%+1.4ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto29 lug 26, 18:1030 set 26, 23:59
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Gemini — Fed decision in September? · Fed maintains rate 66%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in September 2026 · Fed maintains rate 65%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 · No change 73%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Fed decision in Sep 2026? · Fed maintains rate 65%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Fed Decision in September? · No change 67%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Fed Decision in September? · No change 68%
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 36,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,4 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.4pt86.1%
- 1 (259.9%
- 2 (50-0.4pt3%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
- Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 138,6K €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change70.6%
- 25 bps increase23.5%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt3.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
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- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Fed decision in September??
- Manifold Markets quota No change al 77% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Fed decision in September??
- Fed decision in September? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Fed decision in September??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- Dove altro è quotato Fed decision in September??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Gemini, Robinhood (Rothera), Futuur, Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless.