China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
GeopoliticaOne-OffChina3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.8%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto23 nov 25, 07:58 UTC15 dic 26, 07:54 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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LimitlessRegole
Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES only if:
- • Chinese and Japanese military or paramilitary forces (PLA, JMSDF/JGSDF/JASDF, China Coast Guard, Japan Coast Guard) engage in direct armed or physical confrontation, and
- • At least one person from one side is physically injured or killed by the actions of the other side.
- Cross-party requirement:
- • Injuries or deaths must be caused by the opposing side.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026?
- China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 15 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria