Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto11 mar 26, 11:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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LimitlessRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if there is a direct military clash between Israeli and Turkish forces before January 1, 2027.
- A military clash is defined as armed combat involving weapons fire, airstrikes, or military operations where at least one side is Turkish military personnel or assets and the other is Israeli military personnel or assets.
- The clash must occur in any location (Syria, Turkish territory, international waters, etc.).
- Isolated incidents such as accidental border crossings, single shots fired, or unconfirmed reports do not qualify.
- The incident must be confirmed by credible international news sources or official statements from either government.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
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- 1,1 Mld €
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- 2,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
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- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
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- Volume 24h
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- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
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- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027??
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria
- Dove altro è quotato Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.