LimitlessVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 8 set 2026, 22:05 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 50%
Qualità del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
25 ago 26, 13:55 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as melee weapons, missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) is not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per China x Philippines military clash before 2027??
- Limitless quota Yes al 50% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve China x Philippines military clash before 2027??
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato China x Philippines military clash before 2027??
- Limitless liquida questo mercato come segue: <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato China x Philippines military clash before 2027??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.