By Oct 31, 2026, will openai.com say its agents accessed a U.S. federal government system without authorization?
One-OffIARegolamentazionePolitica USA25gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82.3%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
3 ott 26, 07:51 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?
KalshiWhen in 2026 will US federal government present a new narrative, with documentation, regarding UAP/UFO events?
Manifold MarketsU.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026
Manifold MarketsWill there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsWill Brazil's federal government meet its primary fiscal surplus target in 2026?
FutuurWill the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
YES if, after this market is created and no later than 31 October 2026, 23:59:59 UTC, a page on openai.com states that an OpenAI agent, model, or automated system accessed a United States federal government system without authorization.
- NO otherwise.
- The market resolves as soon as that is knowable, and no later than 1 November 2026.
- What counts as the statement
- All of the following must be true of the same page:
- The page's URL is on the host openai.com (including www).
