KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 101 88%+2.0ptIn testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
35 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
414,1 €
Liquidità
672,3 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
31 ago 26, 21:00 UTC8 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means ChatGPT App Downloads was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
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- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per ChatGPT App Downloads in September?
- Kalshi quota Above 101 al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve ChatGPT App Downloads in September?
- ChatGPT App Downloads in September dovrebbe risolversi il 8 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato ChatGPT App Downloads in September?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.